{
 "calls": [
  {
   "article_slug": "ai-doubts-just-broke-bitcoin",
   "article_url": "https://thewhitereport.com/f/ai-doubts-just-broke-bitcoin/",
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "$82,000 is the line. A daily close back above it before Wednesday says the dip was a leverage flush, not a trend change. Still below it when the Fed speaks, and the AI-doubt narrative owns the week. The White Report will grade this call publicly after the decision.",
   "call_source": "article JSON twin",
   "episode": "ep.2",
   "grade": null,
   "grade_date": "2026-10-28",
   "grade_note": "Graded publicly after the grade date; grade is null until then.",
   "headline": "AI Doubts Just Broke Bitcoin Under $82,000 — and the Fed Decides Wednesday",
   "id": "ep.2",
   "lane": "house",
   "made_date": "2026-10-22",
   "status": "pending"
  },
  {
   "article_slug": null,
   "article_url": null,
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "Bitcoin holds $80,000 into the Federal Reserve's rate decision on Wednesday, October 28 (2:00 p.m. ET). Gradeable claim: Bitcoin does not close a day below $80,000 before the Fed decision.",
   "call_source": "companion article (site page publishes with the next site build)",
   "episode": "ep.3",
   "grade": "HIT",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-28",
   "grade_note": "HIT — no Binance BTC/USDT daily close printed below $80,000 on Oct 23–28, 2026; Oct 28 closed $81,343.50. Graded in the Close ledger (the-close-experiment.md, C3: 'BTC held $80K, ep.3 call passed') and on the Scoreboard Ep.1 board.",
   "headline": "Institutions Sold The Dip",
   "id": "ep.3",
   "lane": "house",
   "made_date": "2026-10-23",
   "status": "graded"
  },
  {
   "article_slug": null,
   "article_url": null,
   "call": "No publisher opt-out mechanism materializes before Meta's rewritten Commercial Terms take effect on Friday, October 30, 2026 (the terms say none exists).",
   "call_source": "companion article (site page publishes with the next site build)",
   "episode": "ep.5",
   "grade": null,
   "grade_date": "2026-10-30",
   "grade_note": "Graded publicly after the grade date; grade is null until then.",
   "headline": "Meta's October 30 Terms Turn Your Website Into Its AI Training Data — and There's No Opt-Out",
   "id": "ep.5",
   "lane": "house",
   "made_date": "2026-10-23",
   "status": "pending"
  },
  {
   "article_slug": null,
   "article_url": null,
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "Bitcoin closes Wednesday, October 28, 2026 BELOW $80,000 (Fed decision 2:00 p.m. ET, Microsoft and Alphabet earnings that night). Gradeable claim: Bitcoin's daily close on Oct 28 is below $80,000. This call explicitly supersedes ep.3's hold-$80,000 call after the Saturday Oct 24 break below $80,000.",
   "call_source": "companion article (site page publishes with the next site build)",
   "episode": "ep.6",
   "grade": "MISS",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-28",
   "grade_note": "MISS — Binance BTC/USDT daily close, Oct 28, 2026: $81,343.50; the call required a close below $80,000. The sub-$80K break printed one day late: Oct 29 close $77,991.89. Correction (2026-10-31): an internal record first graded this call a HIT on a $79,932.01 close; that figure came from the then-forming Oct 29 candle read ~4h in. Reconciled against the pinned grading source (Binance), the grade is MISS. Original record preserved in the-close-experiment.md and scoreboard-grading-sheet-2026-10-28.md.",
   "headline": "Bitcoin Lost $80,000",
   "id": "ep.6",
   "lane": "house",
   "made_date": "2026-10-24",
   "status": "graded"
  },
  {
   "article_slug": null,
   "article_url": null,
   "call": "Wells Fargo's Section 15 agent-liability terms take effect Tuesday, November 24, 2026 as written: transactions your AI agent makes are treated as 'initiated and authorized directly by you,' at your own risk. Gradeable claim: the terms are in force on Nov 24, 2026 without delay or material softening.",
   "call_source": "ep.4 reel (payoff card: 'AFTER NOV 24: YOUR AGENT = YOU')",
   "episode": "ep.4",
   "grade": null,
   "grade_date": "2026-11-24",
   "grade_note": "Graded publicly after the grade date; grade is null until then.",
   "headline": "Your Agent Is Legally You",
   "id": "ep.4",
   "lane": "house",
   "made_date": "2026-10-25",
   "status": "pending"
  },
  {
   "article_slug": "11-billion-expires-friday",
   "article_url": "https://thewhitereport.com/f/11-billion-expires-friday/",
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "Bitcoin is BELOW $80,000 when Friday's (October 30, 2026) options expire — 4:00 AM ET Deribit expiry ($11B). Gradeable claim: Bitcoin's price at the Fri Oct 30, 2026 4:00 AM ET Deribit expiry is below $80,000.",
   "call_source": "article JSON twin",
   "episode": "ep.7",
   "grade": "HIT",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-30",
   "grade_note": "HIT — Bitcoin was below $80,000 at the Fri Oct 30, 2026 4:00 AM ET Deribit expiry; the Oct 30 Binance daily close was $77,368.77. Graded in the Close ledger (the-close-experiment.md, C5: '$11B expiry graded ep.7 PASSED') and on the Scoreboard Ep.1 board.",
   "headline": "$11 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expire Friday — and the Pain Point Sits at $78,000, Below the Line Bitcoin Just Lost",
   "id": "ep.7",
   "lane": "house",
   "made_date": "2026-10-26",
   "status": "graded"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "Fed holds rates at 3.75–4.00% at the Oct 28, 2026 FOMC meeting (CME FedWatch: 90.6% hold probability; Reuters poll, Oct 16–20: 94 of 100 economists expected a hold).",
   "call_source": "Scoreboard Ep.1 board (PACKAGE.md)",
   "claimant": "CME FedWatch + Reuters economist survey (consensus)",
   "grade": "HIT",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-28",
   "grade_note": "HIT — the Fed held at 3.75–4.00% on Oct 28, 2026 (10–2 vote). Named Call of the Week on the Scoreboard Ep.1 board: quantified, counted, deadlined, resolved clean. Claim window Oct 16–28, 2026, so no single made date is recorded.",
   "headline": "Fed holds rates at 3.75–4.00% at the Oct 28 FOMC meeting",
   "id": "sb-fed-consensus-2026-10",
   "lane": "graded",
   "made_date": null,
   "source_url": "https://www.ecmarkets.com/insights/fed-rate-decision-october-2026/",
   "status": "graded"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "Bitcoin reaches $93,539.45 by October 31, 2026 (October's historical-average return of +13% applied to the ~$83,592 October open; median-return variant $92,619.94).",
   "call_source": "Scoreboard Ep.1 board (PACKAGE.md)",
   "claimant": "Finbold (analysis of CryptoRank data)",
   "grade": "MISS",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-31",
   "grade_note": "MISS — Binance BTC/USDT daily close, Oct 30, 2026: $77,368.77, roughly $16,000 short of the target. October closed about −7%, not +13%.",
   "headline": "Bitcoin to $93,539.45 by October 31",
   "id": "sb-finbold-2026-10",
   "lane": "graded",
   "made_date": "2026-10-20",
   "source_url": "https://finbold.com/bitcoin-price-prediction-for-october-31-according-to-historical-returns/",
   "status": "graded"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "Bitcoin target $82,000 for October 31, 2026, conditional on the 50-day EMA ($80,799) holding on a closing basis AND price reclaiming the $82,281 shelf.",
   "call_source": "Scoreboard Ep.1 board (PACKAGE.md)",
   "claimant": "CoinDCX (analyst note)",
   "grade": "MISS",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-31",
   "grade_note": "MISS — neither stated condition was met; month-end price was $77,368.77 (Binance Oct 30 close). Conditions failed as written.",
   "headline": "Bitcoin target $82,000 for October 31 — conditional",
   "id": "sb-coindcx-2026-10",
   "lane": "graded",
   "made_date": "2026-10-23",
   "source_url": "https://blockchain.news/news/20261025-price-prediction-btc-selling-pressure-dominates-as-bitcoin-clings",
   "status": "graded"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "A retest of $85,000 is expected “in the coming days” (with her own caveat that “conviction is likely to stay limited”).",
   "call_source": "Scoreboard Ep.1 board (PACKAGE.md)",
   "claimant": "Caroline Mauron, Orbit Markets (to Bloomberg)",
   "grade": "MISS",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-31",
   "grade_note": "MISS — graded through Oct 31: the highest BTC print after the quote was $81,971 (Oct 29 Binance daily high); $85,000 was never approached.",
   "headline": "A retest of $85,000 is expected “in the coming days”",
   "id": "sb-orbit-2026-10",
   "lane": "graded",
   "made_date": "2026-10-22",
   "source_url": "https://blockchain.news/news/20261025-price-prediction-btc-selling-pressure-dominates-as-bitcoin-clings",
   "status": "graded"
  },
  {
   "asset": "AI model leaderboard",
   "asset_class": "ai-model",
   "benchmark": null,
   "call": "Google owns the top-ranked model on the Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard at the Oct 31 check — priced 81% on Oct 22 and 98.2% at research time Oct 31 (volume $4,120,535); Anthropic / OpenAI / Meta each <1%.",
   "call_source": "Scoreboard Ep.1 board (PACKAGE.md)",
   "claimant": "Polymarket crowd",
   "grade": "OPEN",
   "grade_date": "2026-10-31",
   "grade_note": "OPEN — the market settles Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET on the Arena.ai snapshot; the last published snapshot (Oct 6) had Google's gemini-4-argon-high #1 at 1533 vs. Anthropic's best 1512. Final verdict lands on the next board.",
   "headline": "Which company has the best AI model end of October?",
   "id": "sb-polymarket-2026-10",
   "lane": "graded",
   "made_date": "2026-08-12",
   "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october?marketSlug=will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194841123&outcomeIndex=1",
   "status": "open"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "asset_class": "crypto",
   "benchmark": "BTC",
   "call": "Strategy is “definitely moving back into the six figures at this point,” while “can't be sure it happens by the end of the year” (BTC to $100K+).",
   "call_source": "Scoreboard Ep.1 board (PACKAGE.md)",
   "claimant": "Michael Saylor (Charles Schwab Network)",
   "grade": "UNGRADEABLE",
   "grade_date": null,
   "grade_note": "UNGRADEABLE — no deadline and no falsifiable condition were stated, so the claim can never resolve as wrong. Logged as the board's teaching example: a claim without a horizon is not gradeable.",
   "headline": "“Definitely moving back into the six figures” — no date attached",
   "id": "sb-saylor-2026-10",
   "lane": "graded",
   "made_date": "2026-10-20",
   "source_url": "https://blockchain.news/news/20261025-price-prediction-btc-selling-pressure-dominates-as-bitcoin-clings",
   "status": "ungradeable"
  }
 ],
 "description": "Every dated public call The White Report has made, with its grade. Pending calls have grade null — nothing is graded early. The White Report is NOT financial advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. We grade dated claims against evidence; what you do with that is yours."
}